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    1998~2015年长江经济带工业废气污染治理效率评估报告

    摘要

    选取1998~2015年30个省市(除西藏)数据,采用超效率SBM模型测算全国、长江经济带工业废气污染治理效率;采用门槛效应模型研判长江经济带工业废气污染治理效率的影响因素。研究发现:1998~2015年长江经济带工业废气污染治理效率大于全国工业废气污染治理效率;长江经济带工业废气污染治理效率与全国工业废气污染治理效率的演变轨迹相似;长江经济带工业废气污染治理效率的空间规律为“两极分化型”向“过渡型”演变;长江经济带沿线11省市工业废气污染治理效率与重工业占比呈负相关;当人均GDP较小时,长江经济带工业废气污染治理效率与工业化率、地方法规颁布件数、环境污染与破坏总次数呈负相关,与群众因污染来信数呈正相关;当人均GDP跨过门槛阈值拐点后,相关关系反之。为进一步推动长江经济带高质量发展,应加强中央与地方共促工业污染防控治理;推动重化工业绿色发展;加强媒体对废气污染的长期有效监督;推动建立科学有效的“三方共治”体系。

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    Abstract

    Selecting data from 30 provinces(except Tibet)from 1998 to 2015,the efficiency of industrial environmental pollution control in the whole country and the Yangtze River Economic Belt was measured by the super-efficient SBM model,and the influence factors of industrial environmental pollution control efficiency of the Yangtze River Economic Belt were studied by the threshold effect model. The study found that from 1998 to 2015,the efficiency of industrial environmental pollution control in the Yangtze River Economic Belt was greater than that of the national industrial environmental pollution control,the industrial environmental pollution control efficiency in the mid-stream region was the highest,the middle-stream area was second,and the efficiency value of the upstream area was the least. The efficiency of industrial environmental pollution control in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is similar to that of the national industrial environmental pollution control efficiency,and the spatial pattern of industrial environmental pollution control efficiency in the Yangtze River Economic Belt evolved from “polarization” to “transitional” from 1998 to 2015. The efficiency of industrial environmental pollution control in 11 provinces of the Yangtze River Economic Belt is negatively correlated with the proportion of heavy industry,and when the per capita GDP is small,the efficiency of industrial environmental pollution control in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is negatively correlated with the rate of industrialization,the number of cases promulgated by local laws and regulations,and the total number of environmental pollution and destruction,which is positively correlated with the number of letters from the masses due to pollution. When per capita GDP crosses the threshold inflection point,the correlation is the opposite. To further promote the high-quality development of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,the central and local governments should strengthen the prevention and control of industrial pollution. Promoting the green development of heavy and chemical industries;Strengthen the media’s long-term effective supervision of waste gas pollution;We will promote the establishment of a scientific and effective tripartite governance system.

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    作者简介
    吴传清:吴传清,武汉大学经济与管理学院、中国发展战略与规划研究院教授,博士生导师,从事区域经济学、产业经济学研究。
    李姝凡:李姝凡,武汉大学经济与管理学院区域经济学专业硕士研究生,从事区域经济学研究。
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